Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · NasdaqGM
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) posted $1.48B in revenue for fiscal 2025 (up 9.9% year over year), at a 8.6% net margin, and has compounded revenue about 11.0%/yr over five years, per its SEC filings.
Data last refreshed August 2, 2026 from SEC filings · how we compute this
The analyst's take on Blue Bird Corporation
Blue Bird Corporation has grown revenue from $932.01M to $1.48B over the last 10 fiscal years, compounding about 11% a year. The most recent year was up 9.9%, so growth has cooled from its longer-run pace.
Net margin sits at 8.6%, up 0.8 points year over year on a 20.5% gross margin. It carries about $90.32M of total debt.
At today's valuation the market is pricing in roughly 3.3% annual free-cash-flow growth. The one thing worth a second look in the filings is share count rising (dilution).
Synthesised from Blue Bird Corporation's SEC filings — descriptive, not advice. Ask the analyst your own question →
Blue Bird Corporation revenue & earnings — last 10 fiscal years
| Metric | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $932.01M | $990.60M | $1.02B | $1.02B | $879.22M | $684.00M | $800.64M | $1.13B | $1.35B | $1.48B |
| Gross profit | $129.36M | $127.37M | $121.99M | $133.47M | $96.20M | $72.14M | $36.55M | $138.85M | $256.16M | $303.51M |
| Net income | $6.90M | $28.80M | $30.82M | $24.30M | $12.19M | $-289,000 | $-45.76M | $23.81M | $105.55M | $127.72M |
| Net margin | 0.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | -0.0% | -5.7% | 2.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
Source: Blue Bird Corporation SEC filings (10-K). 14 years of history available in the interactive view.
Blue Bird Corporation: 1 potential red flag in the filings
Patterns in the filed statements worth a second look — computed and cited, not AI guesswork, and not a signal to sell. The kind of thing that hides in a 10-K.
- Share count rising (dilution)Shares outstanding grew 17.2% over 4 years (27.2M → 31.9M) — existing holders' stakes are being diluted.
What growth is priced into BLBD stock?
At today's market cap of $2.23B, Blue Bird Corporation is priced for free-cash-flow growth of about 3.3% per year for 10 years (assuming a 10% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth, base FCF $153.34M from the FY ending 2025-09-30). For comparison, revenue 11%/yr, computed from its SEC filings. This is a reverse DCF — a translation of the price into a growth assumption you can judge, not a fair value and not advice. Change the assumptions yourself in the interactive view →
Explore 14 years of Blue Bird Corporation financials — interactive
Full income statement, balance sheet and cash flow with CAGR and trend on every row, 48 quarters, valuation ratios, plain-English health checks, and Ask — our SEC-grounded research assistant.
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Blue Bird Corporation financial history by metric
Compare Blue Bird Corporation with peers
About Blue Bird Corporation
Blue Bird Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells school buses in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Bus and Parts. It offers Type C, Type D, and specialty buses; and alternative power options through its propane powered, gasoline powered, compressed natural gas powered, and electric powered school buses, as well as diesel engines. The company also sells replacement bus parts; and provides extended warranties related to its products. Blue Bird Corporation sells its products through drop ship and a network of dealers, as well as directly to fleet operators, the United States government, and state governments; independent service centers; and maintains a parts distribution center. Blue Bird Corporation was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Macon, Georgia.
Blue Bird Corporation — frequently asked questions
What is Blue Bird Corporation's revenue?
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) reported revenue of $1.48B for fiscal year 2025, up 9.9% from the prior year, according to its SEC filings.
Is Blue Bird Corporation profitable?
Yes. BLBD earned net income of $127.72M in fiscal 2025, a net margin of 8.6%.
What is BLBD's P/E ratio?
Blue Bird Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 17.3 based on the latest data in our nightly-refreshed cache.
How fast is Blue Bird Corporation growing?
BLBD's revenue grew at roughly 11.0% per year over the last five fiscal years (compound annual growth rate), computed from SEC-filed statements.
How much debt does Blue Bird Corporation have?
As of fiscal year 2025, BLBD carried roughly $90.32M in total debt (short- plus long-term borrowings), per its filed balance sheet.
What is Blue Bird Corporation's gross margin?
BLBD's gross margin was 20.5% in fiscal 2025 — gross profit of $303.51M on revenue of $1.48B.
What is Blue Bird Corporation's market cap?
Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) has a market capitalization of about $2.23B, based on the latest data in our nightly-refreshed cache.
When does Blue Bird Corporation's fiscal year end?
BLBD's fiscal year ends in September. Its most recent annual filing covers the fiscal year ending 2025-09-30.
What growth is priced into BLBD stock?
At today's market cap of $2.23B, Blue Bird Corporation is priced for free-cash-flow growth of about 3.3% per year for 10 years (assuming a 10% discount rate and 2.5% terminal growth, base FCF $153.34M from the FY ending 2025-09-30). For comparison, revenue 11%/yr, computed from its SEC filings.
Where does this data come from?
All figures are computed from Blue Bird Corporation's official SEC filings (10-K and 10-Q), covering 14 years of history, refreshed nightly. stockportfolio.pro does not provide investment advice.